LERA Winter Meeting, San Francisco, Jan. 3-5, 2016
in conjunction with ASSA 2016 conference
PARC 55, 55 Cyril Magnin St., San Francisco, CA 94102

SUNDAY | PLENARY/RECEPTION | MONDAY | TUESDAY | HOME

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 Sunday, January 3, 2016

Jan 03, 2016 8:00 am, Parc 55, Davidson
"Aftermath of the Great Recession: Labor Markets in Flux"
Presiding: William Spriggs (Howard University)

• Has the Large Firm Training Advantage Declined During the 2000s?    
• Jeff Waddoups (University of Nevada-Las Vegas)
• Skill Demands and Skill Mismatch in Fast-Growing Technical Occupations    
• Andrew Weaver (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)
• Area Economic Conditions and the Labor Market Outcomes of Americans in the Current Recovery    
• William McKinley Rogers III (Rutgers University)
• The Great Recession and Its Aftermath: What Role for Structural Changes?    
• Jesse Rothstein (University of California-Berkeley)
• Discussants:
• Robert Valletta (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco)
• David Howell (New School)

Jan 03, 2016 8:00 am, Parc 55, Balboa
Data Gold! Exploiting the Rich Research Potential of Lifetime Administrative Earnings Data Linked to the Census Bureau's Household SIPP Survey

Presiding: Jeannette Wicks-Lim (University of Massachusetts-Amherst)

• Do Tax Incentives Increase 401(K) Retirement Saving? Evidence From the Adoption of Catch-Up Contributions
• Matthew S. Rutledge (Boston College)
• April Yanyuan Wu (Boston College and Mathematica Policy Research)
• Francis Vitagliano (Boston College)
• Education, Earnings, and the Timing of Fertility   
• Lara Shore-Sheppard (Williams College)
• Education, Gender, and Earnings Volatility: Evidence from SIPP Linked Administrative  
• Michael D. Carr (University of Massachusetts-Boston)
• Emily E. Workers (University of Massachusetts-Boston)
• Low-Wage Careers in a Changing Labor Market  
• Jeannette Wicks-Lim (University of Massachusetts-Amherst)
• Discussants:
• Ben Zipperer (Washington Center for Equitable Growth)
• Lori Reeder (U.S. Census Bureau)

Jan 03, 2016 10:15 am, Parc 55, Davidson
Difference-in-Difference Analyses of the Effects of Family Policies
Presiding: Nancy Folbre (University of Massachusetts-Amherst)

• The Effects of a Short-Hour Option on Childbirth and Mothers’ Labor Supply in Japan
• Nobuko Nagase (Ochanomizu University)
• Do Fathers Take Family Leave in the U.S.? The Effects of California’s Paid Family Leave Program on Paternal Leave-Taking and Household Labor Supply
• Ann Bartel (Columbia University)
• Maya Rossin-Slater (University of California-Santa Barbara)
• Christopher J. Ruhm (University of Virginia)
• Jane Waldfogel (Columbia University)
• Jenna Stearns (University of California-Santa Barbara)

• Reserving Time for Daddy: The Short and Long-Run Consequences of Fathers' Quotas
• Ankita Patnaik (Cornell University)
• The Effects of Paid Maternity Leave: Evidence from Temporary Disability Insurance
• Jenna Stearns (University of California-Santa Barbara)
• Discussants:
• Elaine McCrate (University of Vermont)
• Marcus Dillender (WE Upjohn Institute for Employment Research)

Jan 03, 2016 10:15 am, Parc 55, Balboa
The New Generation of Minimum Wage Policies in California
Presiding: Jesse Rothstein (University of California-Berkeley)

• Minimum Wages in the $12 to $15 Range in California Cities: Scope and Scale    
• Ken Jacobs (University of California-Berkeley)
• Annette Bernhardt (University of California-Berkeley)
• Do Consumers Pay for Higher Minimum Wages?    
• Sylvia Allegretto (University of California-Berkeley)
• A Structural Model for Estimating Minimum Wage Effects at $12 and $15
  
• Michael Reich (University of California-Berkeley)
• New Directions in Compliance and Enforcement    
• Miranda Dietz (University of California-Berkeley)
• Discussants:
• Arindrajit Dube (University of Massachusetts-Amherst)
• Ben Zipperer (Washington Center for Equitable Growth)

Jan 03, 2016 12:30 pm, Parc 55, Balboa
Cities, Equity, and Labor Market Policies
Presiding: Rick McGahey (New School)

• Workforce Intermediaries, Regional Economic Resilience, and Just Growth    
• Chris Benner (University of California-Davis)
• Manuel Pastor (University of Southern California)
• Cities on Their Own: Using Labor Market Policies to Increase Equity    
• Rick McGahey (New School)
• Improving Labor Standards in the Restaurant Industry: A Comparative Study    
• T. William Lester (University of North Carolina)
• The Impact of City Minimum Wage Laws    
• Annette Bernhardt (University of California-Berkeley)
• Ken Jacobs (University of California-Berkeley)
• Discussants:
• William M. Rodgers III (Rutgers University)
• Sylvia Allegretto (University of California-Berkeley)

Jan 03, 2016 12:30 pm, Parc 55, Davidson
Inequality in Japan
Presiding: Arthur Sakamoto (Texas A&M University)

• Trends in Social Mobility in Postwar Japan
• Hiroshi Ishida (University of Tokyo)
• Good Jobs and Bad Jobs in Japan: 1982-2007    
• Takao Kato (Colgate University)
• Ryo Kambayashi (Hitotsubashi University)
• Top Income Shares in Japan, 1886-2012    
• Chiaki Moriguchi (Hitotsubashi University)
• Social Inequality in the Rapidly Aging Society of Japan    
• Sawako Shirahase (University of Tokyo)
• Discussants:
• David Autor (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
• Arthur Sakamoto (Texas A&M University)

Jan 03, 2016 2:30 pm, Parc 55, Davidson
Public Higher Education under Stress: Toward New Social Coalitions Amidst Changing Employment Relations?
Presiding: Gregory Saltzman (Albion College)

• Higher Education between Financialization and Pro-Public Coalitions    
• Charlie Eaton (University of California-Berkeley)
• Diverging Lines of Conflict in the Politics of Higher Education    
• Tobias Schulze-Cleven (Rutgers University)
• The Interests of Internal and External Stakeholders: At Odds or in Line?    
• Henry Brady (University of California-Berkeley)
• Discussants:
• Robert Shireman (Century Foundation)
• Kathryn Lybarger (California Labor Federation)

Jan 03, 2016 2:30 pm, Parc 55, Balboa
Whatever Happened to Incomes Policy? In Honor of the Late Lloyd Ulman 
Presiding: Sanford Jacoby (University of California-Los Angeles)

• Neocorporatism and Incomes Policy in Europe: Past, Present and Future    
• Barry Eichengreen (University of California-Berkeley)
• Whatever Happened to U.S. Incomes Policy?    
• Robert J. Flanagan (Stanford University)
• Incomes Policy in Germany: From Concerted Action to Decentralization of Collective Bargaining    
• Knut Gerlach (University of Hannover)
• Wage and Price Inflation in the 1990s: Perspectives from the Council of Economic Advisers    
• Laura Tyson (University of California-Berkeley)
• Discussants:
• Clair Brown (University of California-Berkeley)
• Paola Giuliano (University of California-Los Angeles)

Jan 03, 2016 4:45 pm, Parc 55, Cyril Magnin II
Featured Plenary: The Changing Job Market: What to Expect
Presiding: Jesse Rothstein (University of California-Berkeley)

• Betsey Stevenson (University of Michigan) - "Five Challenges the Labor Market Faces and the Implications for Economic Growth"

• Alan Krueger (Princeton University) - "Work in the Sharing Economy"

Jan 03, 2016, 6 - 7 pm, Parc 55, Cyril Magnin III
LERA Welcome Reception (Sponsored by Economic Policy Institute)
Please join us for conversation, hors d'oeuvres and a cash bar.

Monday, January 4, 2016

Jan 04, 2016 8:00 am, Parc 55, Davidson
Down But Not Out: Global Perspectives on Labor Unions
Presiding: John Budd (University of Minnesota)

• State-Sponsored Unionization: The Development of Firm Level Labor Institution in China    
• Wang Jie (National University of Singapore)
• When Bargaining Leads to Inequalities: Examination of Collective Labour Agreements in Canada    
• Melanie Laroche (University of Montreal)
• Patrice Jalette (University of Montreal)
• Frédéric Lauzon Duguay (University of Montreal)
• Strategy, Structure and Resourcing in UK Unions    
• Paul Willman (London School of Economics)
• Alex Bryson (NIESR)
• John Forth (NIESR)
• Unionism and Employee Benefits in China's Workplaces    
• Mengjie Lu (Peking University)
• Dinghong Yi (Renmin University of China)
• Discussants:
• John Budd (University of Minnesota)
• Robert Flanagan (Stanford University)

Jan 04, 2016 8:00 am, Parc 55, Balboa
Skilled Worker Immigration and the H1B Program
Presiding: Katharine G. Abraham (University of Maryland)

• The Top H1B Employers: Characteristics of Their H1B Workers    
• Ron Hira (Howard University)
• The Effect of High-Skilled Immigration on Patenting and Employment: Evidence from H1B Visa Lotteries    
• Kirk B. Doran (University of Notre Dame)
• Alexander Gelber (University of California-Berkeley)
• Adam Isen (U.S. Department of the Treasury)
• The Impact of Skilled Foreign Workers on Firms: An Investigation of Publicly Traded U.S. Firms    
• Anna Mayda (Georgetown University)
• Anirban Ghosh (Georgetown University)
• Francesca Ortega (Queens College)
• STEM Workers, H1B Visas and Productivity in U.S. Cities    
• Giovanni Peri (University of California-Davis)
• Kevin Shih (University of California-Davis)
• Chad Sparber (Colgate University)
• Discussant:
• William Kerr (Harvard Business School)

Jan 04, 2016 10:15 am, Parc 55, Balboa
Assessing the Impact of the Minimum Wage
Presiding: Sylvia Allegretto (University of California-Berkeley)

• Early Evidence on the Impact of Seattle's Minimum Wage Ordinance    
• Jacob Vigdor (University of Washington)
• Credible Research Designs for Minimum Wage Studies: A Response to Neumark, Salas and Wascher   
  
• Sylvia Allegretto (University of California, Berkeley)
• Arindrajit Dube (University of Massachusetts Amherst and IZA)
• Michael Reich (University of California, Berkeley)
• Ben Zipperer (Washington Center for Equitable Growth)
• The Feasibility of a $12.50 Federal Minimum Wage    
• Lawrence Mishel (Economic Policy Institute)
• John Schmitt (Center for Economic and Policy Research)
• Discussants:
• William Spriggs (Howard University)
• Sylvia Allegretto (University of California-Berkeley)

Jan 04, 2016 10:15 am, Parc 55, Davidson
Income and Wealth Inequality: Recent Empirical Research
Presiding: Kevin Hallock (Cornell University)

• Household Wealth Trends in the United States, 1962-2013: What Happened over the Great Recession?    
• Edward Nathan Wolff (New York University)
• Winner Take All in Baseball? The Effects of Career Interruptions    
• David Cameron Phillips (Hope College)
• Brennan Mange (Hope College)
• Cyclicality in Top Incomes: The Rise of the High-Beta Rich Reconsidered    
• Kevin W. Capehart (American University-Paris)
• Union Power and Inequality    
• Florence Jaumotte (International Monetary Fund)
• Carolina Osorio (International Monetary Fund)
• Discussants:
• David Card (University of California-Berkeley)
• Kevin Hallock (Cornell University)

Jan 04, 2016 12:30 pm, Parc 55, Balboa
Broken Promises or a Lifeline to the Future: Perspectives on the Multiemployer Pension Reform Act of 2014  
Presiding: Charles Jeszeck (United States Government Accountability Office)

• The Long Road to Here: Recent Trends in the Multiemployer Plan System    
• Eli Greenblum (Segal Consulting)
• Grabbing the Lifeline: A Look at How Plans Have Responded to the New Tools under the MPRA    
• Randy DeFrehn (National Coordinating Committee on Multiemployer Plans)
• Reducing Earned Retirement Benefits: A Grim Precedent with Ominous Implications    
• Norman Stein (Drexel University)
• The Fraying Safety Net: PBGC’s Endangered Insurance Program    
• Michael Hartnett (United States Government Accountability Office)
• Sharon Hermes (United States Government Accountability Office)
• Discussants:
• Teresa Ghilarducci (New School)
• Heather Grob (Saint Martin's University)

Jan 04, 2016 12:30 pm, Parc 55, Davidson
Mass Incarceration of African Americans and Its Economic Consequences
Presiding: Jeannette Wicks-Lim (University of Massachusetts-Amherst)

• Racial Disparities and the Criminal Justice System: What Have We Learned?    
• Samuel Myers (University of Minnesota)
• Civil Rights Legislation and Legalized Exclusion: Mass Incarceration and the Masking of Inequality    
• Becky Pettit (University of Texas-Austin)
• The Effect of Incarceration on Health Over the Life Course    
• Robynn Cox (Spelman College)
• Old-Age Security? Private Pensions, Social Security and Ex-Offenders    
• Ngina Chiteji (New York University)
• Discussants:
• William A. Darity, Jr. (Duke University)
• Patrick Mason (Florida State University)

Jan 04, 2016 2:30 pm, Parc 55, Davidson
Confronting Stagnant Compensation
Presiding: Teresa Ghilarducci (New School)

• Will 21 Million Older Americans Lower Your Wages
• Teresa Ghilarducci (New School)
• Rigging the Rules Explains Wage Stagnation
• Lawrence Mishel (Economic Policy Institute)
• Institutions and Decent Jobs: The U.S. in International Perspective
• David Howell (New School)
• Natural Rate of Unemployment is not Full Employment
• John Komlos (University of Munich)
• Discussants:
• Alexandre Mas (Princeton University)
• Mary Daly (Federal Reserve Board-San Francisco)

Jan 04, 2016 2:30 pm, Parc 55, Balboa
Precarious Work: Women in Germany, Japan, and Korea
Presiding: Elaine McCrate (University of Vermont)

• The Actual Situation of Labor and Organization of the Female Irregular Workers in the Service Industries in Japan as the Process of Globalization Continues    
• Masako Mitsuyama (Doshisha University)
• Sachi Kotani (Nihon University)
• How Working Conditions of the Female Irregular Workers in the Service Industries in Germany are Regulated in Workplace?    
• Yoko Tanaka (Tsukuba University)
• Uta Meier-Graewe (University of Giessen)
• The Actual Situation of Labor and Organization of the Female Irregular Workers in the Service Industries in Korea    
• Nobuko Yokota (Yamaguchi University)
• Sung Hee Kim (Korea University)
• Discussant:
• Sanford Jacoby (University of California-Los Angeles)

Tuesday, January 5, 2016

Jan 05, 2016 8:00 am, Parc 55, Balboa
Work Schedules: New Options, New Problems for Workers
Presiding: Eileen Appelbaum (Center for Economic Policy Research)

• The Impact of Full-day Kindergarten Reform on Maternal Labour Supply    
• Tingting Zhang (University of Toronto)
• Elizabeth Dhuey (University of Toronto)
• Jessie Lamontagne (University of Toronto)
• Work Schedule Instability and Underemployment in Canada    
• Elaine McCrate (University of Vermont)
• Susan J. Lambert (University of Chicago)
• Julia R. Henly (University of Chicago)
• Free to Flex? Work Practices and Career Consequences in an IT Workplace    
• Erin Kelly (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
• Anne Kaduk (University of Minnesota)
• Katie Genadek (University of Minnesota)
• Phyllis Moen (University of Minnesota)
• Discussant:
• Clair Brown (University of California-Berkeley)
• Susan Houseman (WE Upjohn Institute for Employment Research)